The idea that “risk never sleeps” came up at Tamarack recently when we were re-training our AI-based delinquency predictors. A team member pointed out that “the predictors are getting tougher.” My first thought was: “Well, that’s not surprising, delinquency risk has been growing.”

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The challenges of early 2020 have come full circle in 2023. The boon of originations over the past 30 months combined with rapidly increasing interest rates and a looming recession have made 2023 the Year of the Portfolio.

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